Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 2076.591755 2257.470488 2441.138275 2641.307997 2853.023333 3069.997781 3308.877041
2025-02-23 1794.510244 2064.290739 2349.012286 2670.739406 3023.012083 3395.870596 3819.202617
2025-03-02 1595.234621 1915.269678 2262.899967 2666.185408 3118.760149 3608.642443 4176.618901
2025-03-09 1471.962570 1831.680804 2231.842610 2706.091831 3248.847551 3846.765602 4551.317182
2025-03-16 1334.591553 1718.129900 2154.455545 2681.871199 3296.345256 3984.036637 4806.087655
2025-03-23 1265.346861 1676.879300 2154.002344 2740.290716 3433.449403 4219.204582 5169.375462
2025-03-30 1182.505291 1612.528969 2120.412953 2754.481211 3514.692264 4386.942929 5453.149490
2025-04-06 1103.525531 1547.164908 2080.562336 2756.603720 3577.869098 4530.839920 5707.372626
2025-04-13 992.819888 1435.296137 1977.800721 2676.694896 3537.747771 4548.868083 5810.312295
2025-04-20 969.022937 1432.322353 2008.390819 2759.167841 3693.327103 4799.441567 6189.411256
2025-04-27 929.794483 1406.594495 2008.162276 2801.565338 3798.761762 4989.486996 6496.709957
2025-05-04 874.228051 1356.026751 1973.470645 2798.153458 3845.693052 5107.544537 6716.889135
2025-05-11 813.667597 1296.514845 1925.711865 2777.367881 3871.218378 5200.904459 6910.010891
2025-05-18 777.903647 1269.183867 1918.753562 2808.156017 3961.361636 5374.078527 7201.874111
2025-05-25 731.414404 1224.224618 1886.073550 2803.429062 4004.809758 5488.494185 7421.271199
2025-06-01 705.284505 1206.689357 1889.113134 2844.799979 4106.893168 5676.089571 7731.866235
2025-06-08 657.590747 1155.352554 1843.743782 2819.691295 4121.321122 5752.500471 7903.632111
2025-06-15 642.337031 1150.859934 1862.423942 2880.248936 4247.414819 5970.436130 8253.400402
2025-06-22 613.004976 1123.703436 1848.099569 2894.956837 4312.594702 6110.750020 8505.993560
2025-06-29 581.583008 1091.711871 1825.523861 2897.156670 4360.361608 6228.393611 8730.068179
2025-07-06 526.503637 1020.098076 1743.424636 2814.324908 4292.260012 6194.942896 8760.569546
2025-07-13 523.954971 1031.266052 1781.539586 2899.814181 4451.178097 6456.483298 9169.435743
2025-07-20 509.735023 1022.906086 1790.413915 2943.752334 4553.863796 6645.274693 9485.973932